Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 11.033073 12.348661 13.826845 15.624671 17.771170 20.276264 23.457694
2025-04-27 9.505520 11.221889 13.307312 16.076583 19.735108 24.521580 31.471089
2025-05-04 8.231989 10.030959 12.322740 15.539330 20.082311 26.517558 36.837335
2025-05-11 7.640468 9.570627 12.134683 15.919621 21.612862 30.333443 45.841458
2025-05-18 6.997801 8.945879 11.615937 15.712526 22.188441 32.764184 53.327360
2025-05-25 6.483435 8.432408 11.176063 15.529745 22.724714 35.191127 61.619594
2025-06-01 6.088235 8.042755 10.862110 15.477989 23.435026 38.044706 71.891921
2025-06-08 5.666660 7.575901 10.382341 15.091245 23.487664 39.657894 80.094738
2025-06-15 5.385775 7.291449 10.149057 15.071749 24.179631 42.685346 93.300541
2025-06-22 5.001708 6.824177 9.591022 14.436761 23.615867 42.929662 99.068770
2025-06-29 4.645795 6.377908 9.033752 13.747568 22.850136 42.566903 102.939767
2025-07-06 4.372222 6.042575 8.631379 13.293670 22.489911 43.068818 109.988756
2025-07-13 4.445916 6.260165 9.158227 14.599358 26.017890 54.209372 165.533926
2025-07-20 4.344417 6.192176 9.203046 15.016043 27.747234 61.485712 216.788317
2025-07-27 4.101119 5.879206 8.804108 14.527569 27.327501 62.478586 238.128250
2025-08-03 4.011538 5.812002 8.825905 14.873218 28.943622 70.357783 315.817852
2025-08-10 3.848033 5.612183 8.597931 14.685034 29.215499 74.006899 374.199441
2025-08-17 3.700435 5.431063 8.390991 14.518864 29.517033 77.936746 447.981857
2025-08-24 3.580354 5.290160 8.247416 14.471798 30.127405 83.351142 559.926406
2025-08-31 3.427662 5.086075 7.974913 14.119906 29.851006 85.192093 639.699322
2025-09-07 3.328813 4.970194 7.859413 14.102157 30.511465 91.342457 825.419337
2025-09-14 3.165048 4.734610 7.506220 13.523613 29.470242 89.567888 861.462625
2025-09-21 3.003734 4.497934 7.141064 12.894598 28.210545 86.459743 861.553198